Why a Kerry Win is good for the Terrorists and other bad guys around the world.
Kerry could form a team that could make all the right decisions in Iraq. Maybe his team could be smarter than Bush's team. Kerry isn't stupid. The people around him aren't stupid. Kerry's intelligence and the intelligence of his people is not why I think a win will be very, very bad for Iraq, the US, and the rest of the world.
The reason why I am voting for Bush is because Kerry can't possibly do the things he is saying he is going to do. (1) He says he can run a smarter war. He doesn't give any specifics, but he says that. (2) He says he will get other people around the world to do some of the work, so that the US doesn't have to do all the heavy lifting. Again, he doesn't give many specifics, but that is what he says. However, he is wrong on both points.
I'll start with number (2). First of all, there are about 30 nations helping us in the War on Terror and numerous nations helping in Iraq. I cannot name one reason why they would want to send troops to Iraq. The US bales out other nations. Not the other way around. Nevertheless, nations are already helping. Even nations like France, Germany, and Russia are cooperating significantly with the War on Terror. In particular, these three nations are cooperating with intelligence and immigration. They may not be sending troops anywhere, but they won't be sending troops for Kerry either. How is Kerry going to get France, Germany, and Russia to send troops to Iraq? Or any other nation for that matter? This summit he is talking about is just a meeting. Without some new reason to send troops or money, those nations won't do anything more. They may "like" Kerry better, but "like" doesn't equal money or troops. The countries that have sent money and troops had political reasons for doing so, such as either having fears of their own or wanting to make nice so they could join NATO. Kerry's "likability" will achieve nothing. Frankly, George Bush is a very likeable guy in person. He could do better.
However, there are other reasons why Kerry can't get other nations to do more and why he can't run a smarter war than Bush. This goes to his "flip-flopping", too. The fact of the matter is that it is hard to be a Democrat. There are numerous types of Democrats. It's not that Kerry is a flip-flopper, he just has to say different things for different democrats and for the independents. He has to say he is against the war to the anti-war crowd and he is for the war, but can do it differently to others. He is inconsistent and he might have to change what he does in the war or even pull out depending on what the polls say. And a Democrat president is always more concerned with polls than a Republican president.
The anti-war crowd may ask that Kerry get out ASAP. Kerry may feel pressured to put a date certain on a pull out. If that doesn't happen as he plans (and it never does in a war), he will take a lot of heat. Yet the Republicans will not stand by him. The anti-war democrats won't stand by him. His base is made of people who just want to oust Bush. If Bush is gone, where is Kerry's base? The fact is that Kerry does not have a strong enough base to carry out this very difficult war. Any plan he creates will depend on the winds of politics and, when politics guides the war, the war gets messy and you might lose it. That's what happens in Vietnam (but Kerry isn't seeing this).
Countries like Britain, Australia, Poland, and others know that Bush will stay in Iraq come Hell or high water and will make the right decisions regardless of politics. They know they can stand in a certain position and things won't change even as the tactics of the war do. Who knows what Kerry will do? Will he pull out in Six months, 1 year, when the job is done? Who knows? Other nations who are sending money and troops do not want to waste their time and money on a very hard undertaking if they cannot be sure that the US is going to stay. And if the US leaves, no country in its right mind would stay to take over the roll of the US. Those other countries don't have the power or the money.
With Kerry's inconsistency, he won't get any other countries to send troops or money. And the ones that have won't send any more. The ones that have may decide to cut their losses not knowing what Kerry is going to do. It's bad enough with the uncertainty of the enemy. If you are uncertain about your allies, you suddently have two fronts to watch out for.
The terrorists may be evil, but they are not stupid. If Kerry is elected, the Terrorist know that his base won't stand behind him if things get bad. If too many Americans start coming home in body bags or if the violence gets too intense, Kerry's base will demand the US pull out. And the Republicans won't support Kerry no matter which decision he makes (they will pretend to support keeping troops there, but they won't put their muscle into it) and they will use the failed war against Kerry in the next election. Kerry will have some supporters who will want him to keep the troops there, but the Democrat party will be split and Kerry will do something to save face like Nixon did in Vietnam. A Civil War will start and we will be much worse off than before.
The terrorists and insurgents know that Kerry can't survive too much violence hitting out TVs. The terrorists and insurgents know that Kerry won't be able to approve needed military action where civilians might be put in harms way or that might damage a mosque.
The terrorists and insurgents know that Bush is strong, but Kerry isn't. That is why the terrorists and insurgents are hoping for a Kerry victory. A Kerry victory means a victory for the enemy. For them, a Kerry victory means they can see the light at the end of the tunnel. If Kerry wins, there is be a little peace for a short period of time, but then you will begin to see violence and eventually civil war. If Bush wins, the terrorists and the insurgents know the fight will be too hard to win. The terrorists and insurgents know that they can't destroy American military power. They can only destroy America's will to fight.
A Kerry win means they have done that.
The reason why I am voting for Bush is because Kerry can't possibly do the things he is saying he is going to do. (1) He says he can run a smarter war. He doesn't give any specifics, but he says that. (2) He says he will get other people around the world to do some of the work, so that the US doesn't have to do all the heavy lifting. Again, he doesn't give many specifics, but that is what he says. However, he is wrong on both points.
I'll start with number (2). First of all, there are about 30 nations helping us in the War on Terror and numerous nations helping in Iraq. I cannot name one reason why they would want to send troops to Iraq. The US bales out other nations. Not the other way around. Nevertheless, nations are already helping. Even nations like France, Germany, and Russia are cooperating significantly with the War on Terror. In particular, these three nations are cooperating with intelligence and immigration. They may not be sending troops anywhere, but they won't be sending troops for Kerry either. How is Kerry going to get France, Germany, and Russia to send troops to Iraq? Or any other nation for that matter? This summit he is talking about is just a meeting. Without some new reason to send troops or money, those nations won't do anything more. They may "like" Kerry better, but "like" doesn't equal money or troops. The countries that have sent money and troops had political reasons for doing so, such as either having fears of their own or wanting to make nice so they could join NATO. Kerry's "likability" will achieve nothing. Frankly, George Bush is a very likeable guy in person. He could do better.
However, there are other reasons why Kerry can't get other nations to do more and why he can't run a smarter war than Bush. This goes to his "flip-flopping", too. The fact of the matter is that it is hard to be a Democrat. There are numerous types of Democrats. It's not that Kerry is a flip-flopper, he just has to say different things for different democrats and for the independents. He has to say he is against the war to the anti-war crowd and he is for the war, but can do it differently to others. He is inconsistent and he might have to change what he does in the war or even pull out depending on what the polls say. And a Democrat president is always more concerned with polls than a Republican president.
The anti-war crowd may ask that Kerry get out ASAP. Kerry may feel pressured to put a date certain on a pull out. If that doesn't happen as he plans (and it never does in a war), he will take a lot of heat. Yet the Republicans will not stand by him. The anti-war democrats won't stand by him. His base is made of people who just want to oust Bush. If Bush is gone, where is Kerry's base? The fact is that Kerry does not have a strong enough base to carry out this very difficult war. Any plan he creates will depend on the winds of politics and, when politics guides the war, the war gets messy and you might lose it. That's what happens in Vietnam (but Kerry isn't seeing this).
Countries like Britain, Australia, Poland, and others know that Bush will stay in Iraq come Hell or high water and will make the right decisions regardless of politics. They know they can stand in a certain position and things won't change even as the tactics of the war do. Who knows what Kerry will do? Will he pull out in Six months, 1 year, when the job is done? Who knows? Other nations who are sending money and troops do not want to waste their time and money on a very hard undertaking if they cannot be sure that the US is going to stay. And if the US leaves, no country in its right mind would stay to take over the roll of the US. Those other countries don't have the power or the money.
With Kerry's inconsistency, he won't get any other countries to send troops or money. And the ones that have won't send any more. The ones that have may decide to cut their losses not knowing what Kerry is going to do. It's bad enough with the uncertainty of the enemy. If you are uncertain about your allies, you suddently have two fronts to watch out for.
The terrorists may be evil, but they are not stupid. If Kerry is elected, the Terrorist know that his base won't stand behind him if things get bad. If too many Americans start coming home in body bags or if the violence gets too intense, Kerry's base will demand the US pull out. And the Republicans won't support Kerry no matter which decision he makes (they will pretend to support keeping troops there, but they won't put their muscle into it) and they will use the failed war against Kerry in the next election. Kerry will have some supporters who will want him to keep the troops there, but the Democrat party will be split and Kerry will do something to save face like Nixon did in Vietnam. A Civil War will start and we will be much worse off than before.
The terrorists and insurgents know that Kerry can't survive too much violence hitting out TVs. The terrorists and insurgents know that Kerry won't be able to approve needed military action where civilians might be put in harms way or that might damage a mosque.
The terrorists and insurgents know that Bush is strong, but Kerry isn't. That is why the terrorists and insurgents are hoping for a Kerry victory. A Kerry victory means a victory for the enemy. For them, a Kerry victory means they can see the light at the end of the tunnel. If Kerry wins, there is be a little peace for a short period of time, but then you will begin to see violence and eventually civil war. If Bush wins, the terrorists and the insurgents know the fight will be too hard to win. The terrorists and insurgents know that they can't destroy American military power. They can only destroy America's will to fight.
A Kerry win means they have done that.
posted by Defender at 11:29 PM
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